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Abstract During subduction, the downgoing oceanic crust is exposed to high temperatures in the mantle wedge, causing volatile‐bearing minerals to break down and release hydrous fluids into the forearc. These fluids percolate upwards, reacting with the mantle wedge to form hydrated ultramafic lithologies, including serpentinite. To accurately track the fate and impact of water on the forearc, we develop time‐dependent models that self‐consistently capture both serpentinite ingrowth and the associated rheological weakening of the plate interface. Unlike many subduction models that investigate forearc serpentinization and prescribe plate velocities, geometries, or steady‐state conditions, our approach allows plates to evolve dynamically without predefined velocities or geometries. During subduction infancy, serpentinite accumulates rapidly. As subduction matures, serpentinite ingrowth decreases, and more serpentinite is also dragged downward by the slab. To elucidate the links between subduction dynamics and serpentinization, we consider variations in serpentinite strength and hydration state of the incoming plate. Subducting fully water‐saturated sediments yield ∼3× greater forearc serpentinite than within the moderately hydrated reference case. The water‐saturated case produces a weaker interface and, in turn, subduction zone convergence rates ∼40% higher than in an endmember case with anhydrous sediment. A lower serpentinite strength also produces higher convergence rates despite more downdragging of serpentinite from the forearc. We find that hydrous sediments not only lubricate the interface directly by weakening it, as previously suggested, but also by dehydrating and releasing water that produces weak serpentinite in the mantle wedge, with such feedback only able to be captured within fully coupled dynamic models. 

Hydration of the subduction zone forearc mantle wedge influences the downdip distribution of seismicity, the availability of fluids for arc magmatism, and Earth's long term water cycle. Reconstructions of present‐day subduction zone thermal structures using time‐invariant geodynamic models indicate relatively minor hydration, in contrast to many geophysical and geologic observations. We pair a dynamic, time‐evolving thermal model of subduction with phase equilibria modeling to investigate how variations in slab and forearc temperatures from subduction infancy through to maturity contribute to mantle wedge hydration. We find that thermal state during the intermediate period of subduction, as the slab freely descends through the upper mantle, promotes extensive forearc wedge hydration. In contrast, during early subduction the forearc is too hot to stabilize hydrous minerals in the mantle wedge, while during mature subduction, slab dehydration dominantly occurs beyond forearc depths. In our models, maximum wedge hydration during the intermediate phase is 60%–70% and falls to 20%–40% as quasi‐steady state conditions are approached during maturity. Comparison to global forearc H₂O capacities reveals that consideration of thermal evolution leads to an order of magnitude increase in estimates for current extents of wedge hydration and provides better agreement with geophysical observations. This suggests that hydration of the forearc mantle wedge represents a potential vast reservoir of H₂O, on the order of 3.4–5.9 × 10²¹ g globally. These results provide novel insights into the subduction zone water cycle, new constraints on the mantle wedge as a fluid reservoir and are useful to better understand geologic processes at plate margins. 

Talc‐rich rocks are common in exhumed subduction zone terranes and may explain geophysical observations of the subduction zone interface, particularly beneath Guerrero, Mexico, where the Cocos plate subducts horizontally beneath North America and episodic tremor and slow slip (ETS) occurs. We present petrologic models exploring (a) the degree of silica metasomatism required to produce talc in serpentinized peridotites at the pressure‐temperature conditions of the plate interface beneath Guerrero and (b) the amount of silica‐bearing water produced by rocks from the subducting Cocos plate and the location of fluid pulses. We estimate the volumes of talc produced by the advection of silica‐rich fluids into serpentinized peridotites at the plate interface over the history of the flat‐slab system. In the ETS‐hosting region, serpentinites must achieve ∼43 wt. % SiO₂to stabilize talc, but minor additions of silica beyond this produce large volumes of talc. Our models of Cocos plate dehydration predict that water flux into the interface averages 3.9 × 10⁴ kg m⁻² Myr⁻¹but suggest that only where subducting basalts undergo major dehydration reactions will sufficient amounts of silica‐rich fluids be produced to drive significant metasomatism. We suggest that talc produced by advective transport of aqueous silica alone cannot account for geophysical interpretations of km‐thick zones of talc‐rich rocks beneath Guerrero, although silica‐bearing fluids that migrate along the plate interface may promote broader metasomatism. Regions of predicted talc production do, however, overlap with the spatial occurrence of ETS, consistent with models of slow slip based on the frictional deformation of metasomatic lithologies. 

Abstract Episodic tremor and slow slip (ETS) downdip of the subduction seismogenic zone are poorly understood slip behaviors of the seismic cycle. Talc, a common metasomatic mineral at the subduction interface, is suggested to host slow slip but this hypothesis has not been tested in the rock record. We investigate actinolite microstructures from talc‐bearing and talc‐free rocks exhumed from the depths of modern ETS (Pimu'nga/Santa Catalina Island, California). Actinolite deformed by dissolution‐reprecipitation creep in the talc‐free rock and dislocation creep ± cataclasis in the talc‐bearing rock. This contrast results from stress amplification in the talc‐bearing rock produced by high strain rates in surrounding weak talc. We hypothesize that higher strain rates in the talc‐bearing sample represent episodic slow slip, while lower strain rates in the talc‐free sample represent intervening aseismic creep. This work highlights the need to consider fluid‐mediated chemical change in studies of subduction zone deformation and seismicity.